Central Standard Time

Sleepers for Week 13...Shhhh

Adrian Peterson RB Chicago, thats right not Minnesota! Benson out Peterson in. Grab him quick if you can.

If you are completely out of wide receiver choices, Javon Walker WR Denver, who has been out since week 3 will see more action in week 13

Andre Hall RB Denver Selvin Young will probably play but Hall is sure to see some action also. Denver plays 32nd ranked rush defense Oakland in week 13. They will probably both score!

Patrick Cobbs RB Miami could be another super sleeper with Chatman injured and Williams out for the season after 6 plays in Pitt Monday Night. Miami has a great rushing line for whoever runs for them. They face 3oth ranked New York Jets rush defense this week. If you are short at RB Cobbs might be a good alternative.



Wednesday, November 7, 2007

Week 9 Confidence Points Results...

My picks weren't so bad but confidence points killed me. I picked 9 of 14 games right but the 5 I missed were some of my highest confidence points. Results below...So instead of letting the stats pick both winners and confidence, the stats will pick the winners but, I will choose the confidence points.


Favorite Underdog Conf Status Game Details
•TAMPA BAY Arizona 10 Cor TB 17, Ari 10
•DETROIT Denver 5 Cor Det 44, Den 7
TENNESSEE •Carolina 11 Inc Ten 20, Car 7
KANSAS CITY •Green Bay 3 Cor GB 33, KC 22
•San Diego MINNESOTA 14 Inc Min 35, SD 17
•NEW ORLEANS Jacksonville 9 Cor NO 41, Jac 24
•ATLANTA San Francisco 7 Cor Atl 20, SF 16
•Washington NEW YORK (NYJ) 6 Cor Was 23, NYJ 20
•Cincinnati BUFFALO 13 Inc Buf 33, Cin 21
CLEVELAND •Seattle 1 Inc Cle 33, Sea 30
New England •INDIANAPOLIS 8 Inc NE 24, Ind 20
OAKLAND •Houston 2 Cor Hou 24, Oak 17
•Dallas PHILADELPHIA 4 Cor Dal 38, Phi 17
•PITTSBURGH Baltimore 12 Cor Pit 38, Bal 7

Total Points 58/105

NFL Week 10 Picks Confidence Points

I get these numbers from pure ranking stats with my own
special twist. The first team is the favored team, the
second is the underdog, I've colored the teams green
that my "stats" show will win. The confidence number is
how confident I personally believe the team chosen will
win, 14 being the highest. The team in CAPS is the home
team. My stats show 3 upset games this week: Minnesota,
Philadelphia and Oakland.

Good Luck with your picks!!!

Favorite Underdog Conf
PITTSBURGH Cleveland 13
GREEN BAY Minnesota 1
WASHINGTON Philadelphia 4
TENNESSEE Jacksonville 11
CAROLINA Atlanta 2
KANSAS CITY Denver 12
Buffalo MIAMI 7
NEW ORLEANS St. Louis 6
BALTIMORE Cincinnati 5
Chicago OAKLAND 9
Dallas NEW YORK (NYG) 8
ARIZONA Detroit 3
Indianapolis SAN DIEGO 14
SEATTLE San Francisco 10

Total Points 0/105

When I pick weekly confidence points I rank pass & rush
offenses and pass & rush defenses by yards/game &
touchdowns (most rankings are based only on the
yards/game like the NFL or USA Today). I then subtract
these rank numbers against who they are playing creating
a formula much like this:
(Off pass rank Team 1 - Def pass rank Team 2) +
(Off rush rank Team 1 - Def rush rank Team 2) for every
team that plays that week. I then cross-reference the
other teams results so I end up with a perfect curve
that gives the highest score to the best outcomes, or
in other words a "confidence" hierarchy. Overall my
results have been good on the number of picks correct,
but not so good confidence-wise; so I have done more
tweaking this week. Thanks for checking out the site!

Good Luck with your picks!!!

Fantasy Football Rankings Passing Rushing Receiving Week 10

THE FOLLOWING CHARTS HELP TO PICK YOUR QB RB AND WR FOR WEEK 10 - There are 3 charts: 1st PASSING; 2nd RUSH; 3rd RECEIVING. The charts work like this: the teams are ranked by my special method (similiar to the NFL and USA today rankings by "yards/game" but, with an added element that I believe they have left out...Touchdowns!). The first number is the Rank followed by the ranked Team, after that is the opposing Team for this week. The last number is derived by using the offensive stats compared to the defensive stats. The more negative the number, the better that offensive team (PASS, RUSH, RECEIVE) will perform. The BYE teams numbers have no meaning. HERE'S AN EXAMPLE: To use these numbers for fantasy football, imagine you have to chose between QB Anderson from Cleveland and QB Palmer from Cincinnati. Cleveland has a 3 Cincinnati has a -14, so because of the matchup this week Palmer is the better pick, Anderson is gonna have problems with Pittsburgh's high ranked defense. The rankings are based on the team as a whole and should only be used as a guide.

Good Luck with your Fantasy Football Picks!!!

PASSING



1 New England Patriots BYE -14
2 Dallas Cowboys @NYG -15
3 Pittsburgh Steelers CLE -29
4 Cleveland Browns @PIT 3
5 Cincinnati Bengals @BAL -14
6 Indianapolis Colts @SDC -15
7 Green Bay Packers MIN -19
8 Seattle Seahawks SFF -8
9 Houston Texans BYE -14
10 New Orleans Saints STL -8
11 New York Giants DAL -9
12 Detroit Lions @ARI 4
13 Carolina Panthers ATL 3
14 New York Jets BYE -14
15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers BYE 12
16 Philadelphia Eagles @WAS 5
17 San Diego Chargers IND 13
18 Denver Broncos @KCC 9
19 Jacksonville Jaguars @TEN 12
20 Chicago Bears @OAK 18
21 Arizona Cardinals DET -9
22 Kansas City Chiefs DEN -3
23 Miami Dolphins BUF -4
24 Oakland Raiders CHI 11
25 Washington Redskins PHI 13
26 Baltimore Ravens CIN -5
27 Atlanta Falcons @CAR 21
28 St. Louis Rams @NOS -1
29 Minnesota Vikings @GBP 7
30 Buffalo Bills @MIA 6
31 San Francisco 49ers @SEA 26
32 Tennessee Titans JAC 18

RUSHING



1 Minnesota Vikings @GBP -4
2 Indianapolis Colts @SDC -17
3 Tennessee Titans JAC -15
4 Dallas Cowboys @NYG -10
5 New England Patriots BYE -6
6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers BYE -21
7 New York Giants DAL 1
8 Miami Dolphins BUF -2
9 Washington Redskins PHI 1
10 San Diego Chargers IND -2
11 Cleveland Browns @PIT 9
12 Oakland Raiders CHI -12
13 Jacksonville Jaguars @TEN 10
14 Pittsburgh Steelers CLE -1
15 Philadelphia Eagles @WAS 2
16 Detroit Lions @ARI -5
17 New Orleans Saints STL -11
18 Buffalo Bills @MIA -13
19 Arizona Cardinals DET 2
20 Houston Texans BYE -6
21 Carolina Panthers ATL 1
22 San Francisco 49ers @SEA -1
23 Baltimore Ravens CIN 1
24 Denver Broncos @KCC 17
25 Atlanta Falcons @CAR 0
26 Cincinnati Bengals @BAL 25
27 Green Bay Packers MIN 23
28 New York Jets BYE -2
29 Kansas City Chiefs DEN 0
30 Seattle Seahawks SFF 14
31 Chicago Bears @OAK -1
32 St. Louis Rams @NOS 23


RECEIVING



1 New England Patriots BYE -16
2 Dallas Cowboys @NYG -16
3 Cleveland Browns @PIT 2
4 Pittsburgh Steelers CLE -28
5 Cincinnati Bengals @BAL -14
6 Green Bay Packers MIN -20
7 Houston Texans BYE -16
8 Indianapolis Colts @SDC -12
9 New Orleans Saints STL -7
10 Seattle Seahawks SFF -5
11 Detroit Lions @ARI 3
12 New York Jets BYE -16
13 New York Giants DAL -8
14 Philadelphia Eagles @WAS 3
15 Chicago Bears @OAK 13
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers BYE 13
17 Denver Broncos @KCC 7
18 San Diego Chargers IND 14
19 Carolina Panthers ATL 10
20 Arizona Cardinals DET -10
21 Kansas City Chiefs DEN -4
22 Miami Dolphins BUF -5
23 Jacksonville Jaguars @TEN 16
24 Oakland Raiders CHI 11
25 St. Louis Rams @NOS -4
26 Atlanta Falcons @CAR 21
27 Baltimore Ravens CIN -4
28 Washington Redskins PHI 16
29 Buffalo Bills @MIA 5
30 Minnesota Vikings @GBP 8
31 San Francisco 49ers @SEA 25
32 Tennessee Titans JAC 18

You gotta love this stiff-arm Shaun Rogers puts on Selvin Young!!!