Central Standard Time

Sleepers for Week 13...Shhhh

Adrian Peterson RB Chicago, thats right not Minnesota! Benson out Peterson in. Grab him quick if you can.

If you are completely out of wide receiver choices, Javon Walker WR Denver, who has been out since week 3 will see more action in week 13

Andre Hall RB Denver Selvin Young will probably play but Hall is sure to see some action also. Denver plays 32nd ranked rush defense Oakland in week 13. They will probably both score!

Patrick Cobbs RB Miami could be another super sleeper with Chatman injured and Williams out for the season after 6 plays in Pitt Monday Night. Miami has a great rushing line for whoever runs for them. They face 3oth ranked New York Jets rush defense this week. If you are short at RB Cobbs might be a good alternative.



Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Fantasy Football Rankings Passing Rushing Receiving Week 8

I am for the first time publicly publishing my Fantasy Football Stats System that I have been using successfully for over 5 years now. There are 3 charts: 1st PASSING; 2nd RUSH; 3rd RECEIVING. The charts work like this; the teams are ranked by my special method (similiar to USA today rankings by yards/game but with an added element that I believe they have left out). After the Rank & Team is the opposing Team for this week. The last number is derived by using the offensive stats compared to the defensive stats (again with the modifier mentioned before). The more negative the number, the better that offensive team (PASS, RUSH, RECEIVE) will perform. The BYE teams numbers have no meaning. To use these numbers for fantasy football, imagine you have to chose between QB Anderson from Cleveland and QB Palmer from Cincinnati. Cleveland has a -15 Cincinnati has a 1, so because of the matchup Anderson is the better pick. The rankings are based on the team as a whole and should only be used as a guide. A good example of not following these rankings exactly would be the last 2 week performances of RB L. Johnson from Kansas. Their RUSH offense will naturally be low from the low production in the first 5 weeks, but its really hard not to play L. Johnson at this point (unless Kansas is on a BYE like this week) no matter how low Kansas has been ranked; in fact I'm sure their ranking will increase substantially in the next few weeks.

PASSING
1 New England Patriots WAS -3
2 Dallas Cowboys BYE -23
3 Cleveland Browns @STL -15
4 Cincinnati Bengals PIT 1
5 New York Giants @MIA -25
6 Pittsburgh Steelers @CIN -25
7 Indianapolis Colts @CAR 0
8 Seattle Seahawks BYE -2
9 Houston Texans @SDC -11
10 Carolina Panthers IND 9
11 Green Bay Packers @DEN -2
12 New York Jets BUF -15
13 Arizona Cardinals BYE -1
14 Detroit Lions @CHI -8
15 Chicago Bears DET -14
16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers JAC 14
17 Philadelphia Eagles @MIN -7
18 San Diego Chargers HOU -1
19 Kansas City Chiefs BYE 8
20 Miami Dolphins NYG -3
21 Denver Broncos GBP 4
22 Oakland Raiders @TEN 10
23 Baltimore Ravens BYE 8
24 Jacksonville Jaguars @TBB 19
25 Atlanta Falcons BYE 4
26 New Orleans Saints @SFF 17
27 Washington Redskins @NEP 11
28 St. Louis Rams CLE -4
29 Tennessee Titans OAK 21
30 San Francisco 49ers NOS 4
31 Minnesota Vikings PHI 25
32 Buffalo Bills @NYJ 4

RUSH
1 Indianapolis Colts @CAR -16
2 Miami Dolphins NYG -19
3 Dallas Cowboys BYE -6
4 New York Giants @MIA -28
5 San Diego Chargers HOU -20
6 Tennessee Titans OAK -23
7 Minnesota Vikings PHI 1
8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers JAC -7
9 New England Patriots WAS 1
10 Washington Redskins @NEP -4
11 Jacksonville Jaguars @TBB -15
12 Oakland Raiders @TEN 9
13 Pittsburgh Steelers @CIN -6
14 Arizona Cardinals BYE -8
15 Cleveland Browns @STL -15
16 New Orleans Saints @SFF 4
17 Philadelphia Eagles @MIN 15
18 Denver Broncos GBP 11
19 Baltimore Ravens BYE 15
20 Detroit Lions @CHI -7
21 Buffalo Bills @NYJ -10
22 Cincinnati Bengals PIT 21
23 Carolina Panthers IND 10
24 San Francisco 49ers NOS 14
25 Green Bay Packers @DEN -3
26 Houston Texans @SDC 21
27 Seattle Seahawks BYE 7
28 Atlanta Falcons BYE 5
29 New York Jets BUF 11
30 Kansas City Chiefs BYE 19
31 Chicago Bears DET 7
32 St. Louis Rams CLE 16



RECEIVING
1 New England Patriots WAS -2
2 Dallas Cowboys BYE -24
3 Cincinnati Bengals PIT -1
4 Cleveland Browns @STL -14
5 Houston Texans @SDC -15
6 New York Giants @MIA -24
7 Seattle Seahawks BYE -4
8 Indianapolis Colts @CAR 3
9 Pittsburgh Steelers @CIN -22
10 Green Bay Packers @DEN -3
11 Chicago Bears DET -18
12 Arizona Cardinals BYE -3
13 Detroit Lions @CHI -9
14 New York Jets BUF -10
15 Carolina Panthers IND 14
16 Miami Dolphins NYG -11
17 Kansas City Chiefs BYE 7
18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers JAC 16
19 San Diego Chargers HOU 0
20 Philadelphia Eagles @MIN -5
21 Denver Broncos GBP 5
22 Baltimore Ravens BYE 8
23 Atlanta Falcons BYE 2
24 Oakland Raiders @TEN 12
25 St. Louis Rams CLE -7
26 New Orleans Saints @SFF 17
27 Jacksonville Jaguars @TBB 21
28 Washington Redskins @NEP 11
29 Tennessee Titans OAK 22
30 San Francisco 49ers NOS 7
31 Minnesota Vikings PHI 23
32 Buffalo Bills @NYJ 4

College Football Pick'em Week 8

I added these college picks as well this week. I'm not a big college football watcher, but I've been making fairly good picks this season. I just look at both teams and who they have played and compare with the point spread. The teams on the left are favored; odds from Wednesday; teams on the right are the underdog. The teams in green are who I have picked to win either with or against the associated odds.

Good Luck With Your Picks!!! ///Shredd1


(6) West Virginia____6.0_____(25) RUTGERS
(14) KENTUCKY____13.5_____Mississippi St.
(13) MISSOURI_____28.5____Iowa St.
(5) OREGON_______3.0 _____(9) USC
(17) TEXAS________20.5____Nebraska
(19) MICHIGAN_____23.5____Minnesota
(11) South Florida____4.0_____CONNECTICUT
(9) Florida_________9.0_____(20) GEORGIA
(21) Virginia________3.0_____N.C. STATE
(23) AUBURN______17.0_____Mississippi
(12) Kansas________2.5_____TEXAS A&M
TENNESSEE_______3.0_____(15) South Carolina
(1) Ohio St.________4.0_____(24) PENN ST.
(7) ARIZONA ST.____3.0_____(18) California
(16) HAWAII_______27.5____New Mexico St.

NFL Confidence Picks - Week 8

NFL Confidence Picks for Week 8:
The first numbers are the confidence points, next is the winning team, next is the losing team. These stats are based on pure stats with a final bump based on home field advantage. Five of the picks are upsets against the bookie odds; they are listed below.

Good Luck With Your Picks! ///Shredd1

13___Pittsburgh Steelers_____@CIN
12___Cleveland Browns______@STL
11___Indianapolis Colts______@CAR
10___San Diego Chargers_____HOU
9____Tennessee Titans______OAK
8____New York Giants______@MIA
7____Green Bay Packers_____@DEN____Upset
6____New England Patriots___WAS
5____Philadelphia Eagles_____@MIN
4____Detroit Lions_________@CHI____Upset
3____San Francisco 49ers____NOS____Upset
2____Jacksonville Jaguars____@TBB____Upset
1____Buffalo Bills__________@NYJ____Upset

Monday, October 22, 2007

Results Week 7 NFL Picks

1 PIT @DEN
2 NEP @MIA
3 PHI CHI
4 SEA STL
5 BAL @BUF
6 TEN @HOU
7 TBB @DET
8 IND @JAC
9 WAS ARI
10 NYG SFF
11 CIN NYJ
12 DAL MIN
13 NOS ATL
14 KCC @OAK

First of all so there is no confusion, I should have numbered the games listed above 14-1 instead of 1-14 because of how confidence points work. so the points make more sense below with this weeks results. I only lost 4 games BUT they had high confidence points 14, 12, 10, and 8. So even though I picked 10 out of fourteen correct, the four I missed really hurt me in my leagues for the week. However I have committed to following my system for the season. Better luck next week, LOL


9CorrectTen 38, Hou 36

8IncorrectDet 23, TB 16

13CorrectNE 49, Mia 28

2CorrectNO 22, Atl 16

5CorrectNYG 33, SF 15

10IncorrectBuf 19, Bal 14

6CorrectWas 21, Ari 19

1CorrectKC 12, Oak 10

4CorrectCin 38, NYJ 31

12IncorrectChi 19, Phi 16

11CorrectSea 33, StL 6

3CorrectDal 24, Min 14

14IncorrectDen 31, Pit 28

7CorrectInd 29, Jac 7

Sunday, October 21, 2007

NFL Weekly Picks - Week 7

Hello, the current purpose of this Blog is to post my NFL picks of the week by confidence with no spread. In the future I also plan to add a weekly Fantasy Football start/sit predictor that is based on team performance.

The first number is the confidence of the pick, the first team is my prediction to win, the 2nd team is my prediction to lose. In other words out of all the games in week 7, PIT wins over Denver and has the highest confidence over all the other games to win. KCC wins over OAK but has the lowest confidence over all the other games to win.

1 PIT @DEN
2 NEP @MIA
3 PHI CHI
4 SEA STL
5 BAL @BUF
6 TEN @HOU
7 TBB @DET
8 IND @JAC
9 WAS ARI
10 NYG SFF
11 CIN NYJ
12 DAL MIN
13 NOS ATL
14 KCC @OAK

These predictions are based on NFL stats and are used for a weekly NFL Pick Em's league using confidence with no spread. Two noticeable picks are upsets TBB vs DET and has a very high confidence. The second is KCC vs OAK but only has a confidence of 14.

Good Luck with your picks!

You gotta love this stiff-arm Shaun Rogers puts on Selvin Young!!!