NFL Week 10 Picks Confidence Points

I get these numbers from pure ranking stats with my own
special twist. The first team is the favored team, the
second is the underdog, I've colored the teams green
that my "stats" show will win. The confidence number is
how confident I personally believe the team chosen will
win, 14 being the highest. The team in CAPS is the home
team. My stats show 3 upset games this week: Minnesota,
Philadelphia and Oakland.

Good Luck with your picks!!!

Favorite     Underdog     Conf 
PITTSBURGH   Cleveland     13
GREEN BAY    Minnesota      1
WASHINGTON   Philadelphia   4
TENNESSEE    Jacksonville  11
CAROLINA     Atlanta        2
KANSAS CITY  Denver        12
Buffalo      MIAMI          7
NEW ORLEANS  St. Louis      6
BALTIMORE    Cincinnati     5
Chicago      OAKLAND        9
Dallas       NEW YORK (NYG) 8
ARIZONA      Detroit        3
Indianapolis SAN DIEGO     14
SEATTLE      San Francisco 10

Total Points 0/105

When I pick weekly confidence points I rank pass & rush
offenses and pass & rush defenses by yards/game &
touchdowns (most rankings are based only on the
yards/game like the NFL or USA Today). I then subtract
these rank numbers against who they are playing creating
a formula much like this:
(Off pass rank Team 1 - Def pass rank Team 2) +
(Off rush rank Team 1 - Def rush rank Team 2) for every
team that plays that week. I then cross-reference the
other teams results so I end up with a perfect curve
that gives the highest score to the best outcomes, or
in other words a "confidence" hierarchy. Overall my
results have been good on the number of picks correct,
but not so good confidence-wise; so I have done more
tweaking this week. Thanks for checking out the site!

Good Luck with your picks!!!